[But] A 10 per cent win for Clinton was a result directed by Steven Spielberg from a Tom Clancy novel. It's a cliffhanger moment in a cliffhanger narrative. Clinton's case is plausible. She wins all the big states which Democrats must win if they are to win the presidency. She wins the centrist votes. Obama can't close the deal. He can't carry working-class whites or churchgoers or seniors or gun owners.
Democracy is inherently and wonderfully unpredictable. There were times during the Democratic primary process in 1992 when it looked impossible that Bill Clinton could win the nomination. He didn't wrap the nomination up until June 2 of that year, and at that time he was running third in the polls behind then president George H.W. Bush and Ross Perot.
Obama has two of the best friends you can have in politics: vast amounts of money and unstinting media support. They may not be enough.
[Sheridan - The Australian]
Though for me, I'm still hoping that Obama, not only wins the nomination, but also the Presidency. It might not be until September (and the convention) that the nomination is settled.
No comments:
Post a Comment